Semaglutide has one of the most extensive human evidence bases of any peptide, spread across three named programmes: SUSTAIN in type 2 diabetes, STEP in weight management, and the standalone SELECT cardiovascular outcome trial.
SUSTAIN-6, reported by Marso and colleagues in 2016, was designed as a cardiovascular safety trial and returned more than safety: it reported a lower rate of major adverse cardiovascular events on semaglutide than on placebo in adults with type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk. The same paper reported a higher rate of diabetic retinopathy complications in the semaglutide arm. Whether that reflects the drug or the well-described phenomenon of transient retinopathy worsening after rapid glycaemic improvement has been argued since, but the finding is in the primary report and belongs in any honest summary.
STEP 1, reported by Wilding and colleagues in 2021, took the compound into obesity as an indication in its own right. Over 68 weeks in adults with overweight or obesity and without diabetes, mean body weight changed by approximately −14.9% against roughly −2.4% on placebo. This became the benchmark figure against which the dual and triple agonist results that followed were measured.
SELECT, reported by Lincoff and colleagues in 2023, is the trial that changed how the class is discussed. More than 17,000 participants with overweight or obesity and established cardiovascular disease, but without diabetes, were randomised; the semaglutide group had fewer major adverse cardiovascular events. Because the population excluded diabetes, the result cannot be attributed to glycaemic improvement, which is what earlier cardiovascular data in this class could not rule out.